Folio iii
Research
Stock research published on Seeking Alpha, every call priced from the day it went live and held open until I change the rating. The record, not the highlights.
Coverage
priced to 25 September 2026 · against SPY
- Average return
- +3.7%
- across 13 calls
- vs SPY
- +0.6%
- 6 of 13 beat the index
- Hit rate
- 54%
- direction called correctly
- Names covered
- 9
- with a Buy or Sell
The ledger · every call (open a ticker for its chart)
- SNDK chartSandisk: You Can Pace The Frontier, Not Its Memory Needs (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Sandisk CorporationStrong Buy−5.9%vs index−5.7%
- ANTHROAnthropic And OpenAI: "Pacing The Frontier" Or Running Out Of Steps? (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)AnthropicHold—vs index—
- OPENAIAnthropic And OpenAI: "Pacing The Frontier" Or Running Out Of Steps? (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)OpenAIHold—vs index—
- MU chartSK hynix Vs. Micron: 'This Time Is Different' (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Micron Technology, Inc.Buy+8.2%vs index+7.5%
- SKHY chartSK hynix Vs. Micron: 'This Time Is Different' (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)SK hynix Inc.Strong Buy+3.2%vs index+2.5%
- PLTR chartPalantir: Competition Is For Losers (Rating Upgrade) (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Palantir Technologies Inc.Strong Buy from Buy+10.9%vs index+11.1%
- IOT chartSamsara's Data Moat Now Comes With Numbers (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Samsara Inc.Buy+0.7%vs index−3.3%
- PLTR chartPalantir: An Elite Bet On The Software Recovery (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Palantir Technologies Inc.Buy+49.0%vs index+46.0%
- VICR chartVicor: Management Just Raised Its Own Targets, Quietly (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Vicor CorporationStrong Buy−16.3%vs index−21.3%
- RDDT chartReddit's Growth Has An Expiration Date: Here's Why Doesn't Matter (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Reddit, Inc.Buy−13.5%vs index−18.1%
- CDNS chartCadence Design Systems: The Software Version Of An AI Bottleneck (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Cadence Design Systems, Inc.Buy−14.9%vs index−21.3%
- VICR chartVicor: Mid-Quarter Guidance Raise Confirms The IP Thesis (Rating Upgrade) (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Vicor CorporationStrong Buy from Buy−13.3%vs index−15.0%
- XMTR chartXometry: Siemens Deal Is Transformative (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Xometry, Inc.Strong Buy+17.0%vs index+12.7%
- VICR chartVicor: An IP Compounder Hiding Inside An Old Semiconductor Stock (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Vicor CorporationBuy−3.6%vs index−8.1%
- IOT chartSamsara: A Data Moat The Market Is Mispricing After The 'SaaS Apocalypse' (opens on Seeking Alpha in a new tab)Samsara Inc.Buy+26.1%vs index+20.6%
Returns run from the price at publication to the latest close. “vs index” is the call’s return minus SPY over the same window, signed by direction, so a Sell that fell more than the market counts as a beat. Holds are shown but not scored. Full tracker ↗
Pitch decks
Earlier long and short ideas, each written up as a full deck: thesis, catalysts and risk.
Long ideas
- LongApril 2022NVDANvidiaA mega-cap semiconductor company.open the deck (PDF) →
- LongApril 2022PSTGPure StorageA small-cap storage hardware company.open the deck (PDF) →
- LongSeptember 2021WINGWingstopA mid-cap chicken franchise company.open the deck (PDF) →
- LongSeptember 2021SAIASaia, Inc.A mid-cap company in the trucking industry.open the deck (PDF) →
- LongSeptember 2021AMBAAmbarellaA small-cap semiconductor company.open the deck (PDF) →
- LongJune 2021TOLToll BrothersA mid-cap luxury homebuilder.open the deck (PDF) →